We are Selling Half of our Exposure to the S&P 500 Index

The Stock Market Timing Calendar shows Monday's S&P 500 Index to be a sharp down day; our 30 Factor Model remains mildly Bullish.

The S&P 500 Index is up .70% and has filled the gap as we expected it to. Non farm payrolls were much stronger than expected, but the broader employment report still showed significant weakness. This caused the forward expectation for a March increase in interest rates to decline from 17% to 8%. The month end trade played out and a new employment trade has replaced it.

The way to trade a typical bullish employment trade is to sell at the close on the strength of the employment news rally and to buy back within the next three business days. There are no economic news or significant earnings reports on Monday; traders should be able to move the market up or down on light volume. Since the smart money wants to buy on a dip, it is more likely that Monday will decline than go up.

Our Earnings Stock Model shows the following stocks will likely rise Monday on earnings release: SYY, L. The following stocks will likely decline in price after tomorrow's earnings release: TSN, NWL.

Check our webpage at www.stockmarketperformancecalendar.com to see if the 30 factor model has changed its position. Add your email to our website to get our model results free daily for one year.

None of our models indications are recommendations. The 30 Factor Model historically has been right 57% of the time and the Earnings Stock Model right 67%. All of our models are based on historical data. The Calendar is still in beta. Past performance is no indication of future performance.